Tsai, Chu almost tie in Xinbei race survey: DPP

The China Post news staff

TAIPEI, Taiwan — The public support rate for Chairman Tsai Ing-wen of the opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) as the party’s candidate for the year-end mayoral race in Xinbei City lags behind her counterpart Eric Chu of the ruling Kuomintang by a tiny margin of 0.9 of a percentage point, according to findings of the latest public opinion poll conducted by the DPP.

Chen Chun-lin, director of the Public Opinion Survey Center of the DPP, released the findings at a press conference held yesterday morning.

The center carried out a telephone survey of residents in Xinbei City (upgraded from the Taipei County) on Sept. 22-23, with a total of 1,731 effective respondents, according to Chen. At the press conference, Chen said he’s quite astonished to read the results of a public opinion poll published yesterday by the Chinese-language United Daily News (UDN), which showed that Tsai lagged far behind Chun by 17 percentage points.

The UDN poll indicated that 45 percent of Xinbei residents polled said they would vote for KMT’s Chu in the year-end mayoral election, compared with 28 percent for Tsai. Chen said results of the UDN poll look were quite different from findings of similar polls conducted by Chinese-language daily newspaper China Times and such cable TV stations as TVBS and Era Communications, which showed that the gap between the support rate for Tsai and Chu range from 1 to 7 percentage points instead of 17 percentage points. Based on the latest DPP survey, Chen said that Tsai and Chu have almost tied so far, and both sides are striving hard to win the support from the remaining 12.1 percent of residents who have yet to decide whom they will vote for in the year-end elections.

A further analysis showed that 48 percent of male residents would vote for Tsai, higher than 43 percent for Chu; and 39 percent of female residents would cast their ballots for Tsai, lower than 45 percent for Chu.

Meanwhile, 50 percent of residents aged between 20 and 29 would support Tsai in the election, against 38 percent for Chu. But Tsai lags behind Chu by some 10 percent in the support from residents in the age group of 40-49, while Chu lags behind Tsai in the support from voters aged 60 to 69.

The same DPP survey also indicated that the party’s Kaohsiung Mayor Chen Chu saw her support rate decline by 3 percentage points only despite intensive criticisms on her alleged sleeping at her residence in Kaohsiung during Typhoon Fanapi on the afternoon of Sept. 19.