By David Ljunggren, Reuters
OTTAWA — A friendly US$15.1 billion Chinese bid for a big Canadian energy company gels with government pleas for foreign money to develop the costly oil sands of northern Alberta — a possible sign that the deal could win Ottawa’s approval.
The Canadian government said only that it would review state oil company CNOOC’s bid for Nexen Inc., based on its laws on foreign investment. But lawyers, analysts and insiders say there are good reasons for the deal to go ahead, and few reasons to block it. “It so far appears to be a mutual two-way street. Canada has made it clear that it is looking for Chinese investment … And China is now in a way reciprocating that interest by investing in a Canadian company,” said Oliver Borgers of a Toronto law firm. “It appears to want to do a lot for that Canadian company in terms of increasing its size, its footprint, its presence globally, all of the things that would be music to the ears of the Canadian government,” said Borgers, who specializes in antitrust law and foreign investment reviews.
Approval of the deal would help restore a Canadian foreign investment climate that the government dented in 2010 when it rejected a US$39 billion attempt by Australian miner BHP Billiton Ltd. to buy fertilizer maker Potash Corp. The Conservative government said the Potash takeover would not bring a net benefit to Canada and it vetoed the deal. But Potash Corp. was a huge player — and a big employer — in the politically significant province of Saskatchewan, while Nexen’s assets are far more widely distributed around the world. Unlike the Potash offer, in which Saskatchewan’s premier voiced strong opposition, contributing to its demise, Nexen’s home base of Alberta appeared enthused by CNOOC’s play for the company, saying its oil sands assets require major investments. “Today’s potential transaction is further evidence of the vital importance of Alberta’s oil sands to meet global energy demand,” Alberta Energy Minister Ken Hughes said in a statement. “Foreign investment benefits Albertans, and Canadians, putting Canadian firms in a better position to compete globally.” One Toronto-based legal expert on foreign investment laws said CNOOC is making all the right noises by saying it is going to keep jobs in Canada, make Calgary one of its international headquarters and list on the Toronto Stock Exchange. “This makes the political climate a little easier,” said the expert, who asked not to be named. “On the BHP deal, I’m not sure there was enough forethought given to the political landscape.” Friendly Deal Nexen is active in Colombia, Yemen, the North Sea and the United States as well as in Canada, and the majority of its production and cash flow come from outside Canada. “This is a friendly deal … there is a great deal of forethought given to the kind of presence in Canada that the government is seeking,” a source close to the deal told Reuters. “The (Canadian) government tends to look for generation of economic activity in these deals … If that’s the gauge — generation of activity and development — then this I think is a pretty compelling proposition.” Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper went to Beijing in February this year, partly in a bid to sell Canadian oil to China, and he stressed the need to diversify markets and reduce reliance on the United States. Without foreign money, development of the oil sands would lag, the government says.