Ruling party ticket could beat opposition in 2020: poll

TAIPEI (The China Post/ANN) – On March 21, the Cross-Strait Policy Association (CSPA) published a poll on the popularity of Taiwan candidates in the 2020 Presidential Election and the satisfaction rate of President Tsai Ing-wen’s administration.

If Tsai could work with former Premier Lai Ching-te, the survey indicates that they could win over Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu and Taipei mayor Ko Wen-je, two potential candidates in the upcoming election.

On the other hand, if the ruling party cannot convince them to join the same ticket and decide to run separately, their respective support rate would fall second to Han Kuo-yu.

According to data, if Tsai Ing-wen, Han Kuo-yu, and Ko Wen-je compete against each other in a three-way race, their respective support rate is 29.6 percent, 35.4 percent, and 25.9 percent.

In the eventuality of a match between Lai, Han, and Ko, Lai would fall behind Han by 1.6 percent.

However, if Tsai Ing-wen wants Lai on her 2020 ticket, the support rate between the DPP team, Han, and Ko would be 34.3 percent, 32.8 percent, and 22.3 percent, leading Han by 1.5 percent instead.

The poll was conducted on March 19-20 and successfully interviewed 1,080 adults at a 95 percent confidence interval with a 2.98 percent margin error. The population was based on residential telephones in Taiwan and used number 2 as the last digit in the randomly sampling. The results were then sorted and weighted in terms of gender, age, and cities and counties.