世新2020民調出爐!郭台銘狠甩蔡英文 小輸韓國瑜0.8% | Terry Gou leading President Tsai in polls, but remains behind Han

鴻海董事長郭台銘宣布參加國民黨總統初選,為政壇拋下一顆巨大震撼彈;此後,網路上有關郭台銘與先前聲量極高的高雄市長韓國瑜,以及民進黨可能總統參選人的民調紛紛出爐。世新大學4月19日公布最新民調,其中韓國瑜僅小贏郭台銘 0.8 個百分點。

TAIPEI (The China Post)–Following Foxconn Chairman Terry Gou’s presidential bid earlier this week, numerous online polls have already been released. According to a survey published by Shih Hsin University (世新大學) on April 19, opposition Kuomintang (KMT) hopeful Han Kuo-yu only leads Gou by 0.8 percentage point.

世新大學今公布 2020 總統大選的最新民調,其中有意代表國民黨參選的郭台銘,若是在藍、綠、白「三腳督」的情況下,對上有意角逐連任的民進黨代表總統蔡英文、台北市長柯文哲,郭台銘的支持度為 35.6% ,其次為柯文哲的 25.2% 、蔡英文的 20.2% ,另有 19.0% 未表態,郭台銘勝過民進黨參選代表,也勝過柯文哲,是值得關注的情況。

If President Tsai Ing-wen, Ko Wen-je, and Terry Gou compete against each other in a three-way race, their respective support rate is 20.2 percent, 25.2 percent, and 35.6 percent. It is noteworthy that Gou might defeat ruling Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) candidates and Taipei Mayer Ko’s “White Force,” which refers to a new political force in Taiwan that goes beyond pan-Blue and Green political divide.

若是以國民黨內的人選互相比較,郭台銘的支持度為 29.0% ,仍小輸韓國瑜的 29.8% 。交叉分析顯示,韓國瑜的支持者多為女性、 50 歲以上、國初中以下學歷;郭台銘的支持者則多為男性、 20 至 39 歲、專科以上學歷。

Within the KMT, however, Gou and Han’s support rates are 29 percent and 29.8 percent, respectively. The cross analysis shows those who support Han are mainly females over 50 years old who didn’t go to senior high school; while the majority of Gou’s supporters are males between 20 to 39 years old with a junior college degree.

從政黨對比支持度來看,若郭台銘對上蔡英文,郭台銘以 50.2% 支持度大勝蔡英文的 27.1% ,另有 22.7% 未表態;若是郭台銘對上賴清德,郭台銘則以 42.6% 支持度領先賴清德的 33.6% ,另有 23.8% 未表態。

For party support rate, in the eventuality of a match between Gou and Tsai, Gou’s support rate is 50.2 percent, leading Tsai’s 27.1 percent. However, if Gou is to compete with former Premier Lai Ching-te, their support rate is 42.6 percent and 33.6 percent, respectively.