民調:若郭參選 韓支持度30.3% 蔡28.6% 郭22.4% | Han Kuo-yu leads Tsai and Guo in the new poll

根據台灣競爭力論壇的民調指出,即便郭台銘參選,形成三角督局面,韓國瑜的支持度仍最高。 (圖/Nownews資料照) | | A new poll shows that Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu would win over President Tsai Ing-wen if Terry Guo joins the presidential race as an independent.
根據台灣競爭力論壇的民調指出,即便郭台銘參選,形成三角督局面,韓國瑜的支持度仍最高。 (圖/Nownews資料照) | A new poll shows that Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu would win over President Tsai Ing-wen if Terry Guo joins the presidential race as an independent.

【看英文中國郵報學英文】國民黨中央目前和郭台銘斷線,外界認為若郭最後脫黨參選,將衝擊韓國瑜選情,甚至成為蔡英文最終能險勝韓國瑜的關鍵,但根據台灣競爭力論壇民調指出,即便郭台銘參選,形成韓、蔡、郭的三角督局面,韓國瑜仍以些微幅度勝過蔡英文。

A new survey, released by Taiwan Competitiveness Forum on Aug.8, shows that Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu would win over President Tsai Ing-wen if Terry Guo joins the presidential race as an independent.

若把三角督的第三人從郭台銘換成柯文哲,則韓支持度32.1%;蔡25.9%;柯21.6%。

If Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je, Han and Tsai run in the election, however, Han would also lead the race with 32.1 percent support.

而假設柯跟郭最後都參選,形成「四腳督」局面,韓支持度28.7%;蔡24.7%;郭16.4%,柯文哲15.6%。不管在任何組合,韓國瑜都是最強者。

If Han, Tsai, Guo and Ko all join the election, the poll also shows that Han would receive 28 percent, Tsai 24.7 percent, Guo 26.4 percent and Ko 15.6 percent. No matter the situation, Han would win, the poll shows.

台灣競爭力論壇學會於2019年8月4日至8月5日委託全國公信力民意調查公司進行明年總統與立委大選民調。調查對象是戶籍設在台灣,年滿20歲以上的合格選民。以訪員電話訪問隨機抽樣方式進行調查。有效樣本共計1081份,在95%信心水準下,抽樣誤差約為正負3個百分點。

The poll was conducted from Aug. 4 to Aug. 5, using random sampling on landline phones. The respondent, who are over 20-year-old, reside in Taiwan. The poll gathered 1,068 effective samples; it had a 3 percent margin of error with a confidence level of 95 percent.